Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Porto 5-3 Shakhtar
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Porto
While Porto have been the dominant side in this fixture over several seasons, Sporting's home form this term cannot be overlooked. With the quality of attack on display here, this match has the potential to be an absolute goal fest, but we feel these two will end up sharing the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Porto had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
52.83% ( -0.41) | 23.49% ( 0.27) | 23.68% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
