Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Vizela0 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico CP 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Antwerp 1-4 Porto
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Vizela 1-2 Porto
Porto have looked very good since returning from the international break, and they will know that they cannot afford to drop any more points while it is still early in the season. The Dragons will head into this match as strong favourites, and we feel they will live up to that tag with a fifth consecutive victory over this opponent. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
19.48% ( 0.07) | 23.31% ( 0.22) | 57.21% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( -0.82) | 49.69% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( -0.74) | 71.7% ( 0.75) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.4) | 39.75% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.58% ( -0.38) | 76.42% ( 0.38) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.39) | 17.14% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0.7) | 47.36% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
Vizela 19.48%
Porto 57.2%
Draw 23.31%
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.2% |
How you voted: Vizela vs Porto
Vizela
11.4%Draw
0.0%Porto
88.6%44
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 6pm
Dec 16, 2022 8.30pm
