Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Bosuilstadion

Antwerp
1 - 4
Porto

Yusuf (37')
Muja (72'), Alderweireld (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Evanilson (46', 69', 84'), Eustaquio (54')
Eustaquio (14'), Carmo (45+2'), Pepe (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Royal Antwerp and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Royal Antwerp

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Vilar de Perdizes 0-2 Porto
Friday, October 20 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Royal Antwerp 0-2 Porto

Antwerp have shown some defensive vulnerabilities in their opening two group games, and we believe that a shaky backline could be their downfall on Wednesday. In contrast to their hosts, Porto are usually a hard team to break down, and we think that their defensive resilience will lay the foundations for a crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Royal Antwerp	Draw	Porto
34.34% ( -0.05)	26.36% ( 0.1)	39.29% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

-0.43)

51.89% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

-0.38)

73.64% (

0.37)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.24)

28.76% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.3)

64.6% (

0.29)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

-0.23)

25.88% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

-0.31)

60.86% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Royal Antwerp 34.34%

Porto 39.29%

Draw 26.35%

Royal Antwerp	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.34%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.29%