Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Jaime (8'), Eustaquio (90+1')
Conceicao (84'), Wendell (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Depu (37')
Carvalho Neto (14'), Gbane (69'), Correia (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-3 Porto
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-3 Estoril
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Porto 3-1 Gil Vicente

Porto may have lost to Gil Vicente in their previous meeting, but we think that it is unlikely that history will repeat itself with the hosts currently enjoying a fine run of form. After winning four of their five league games, we believe that Porto will showcase their firepower to get the better of a Gil Vicente side who have suffered seven straight defeats on their travels in Primeira Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Gil Vicente
69.99% ( -0)	17.23% ( 0)	12.78% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.95% (

-0.01)

35.05% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.95% (

-0.01)

57.05% (

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.02% (

-0)

8.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.39% (

-0)

30.61%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

-0.01)

39.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

-0)

76% (

Score Analysis

Porto 69.98%

Gil Vicente 12.78%

Draw 17.23%

Porto	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.97% 4-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.74% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.23%	1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.78%