Porto

2 - 1

Gil Vicente

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.