Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Farense (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Moreirense 1-3 Porto
After the upheaval of losing their promotion-winning manager and several players during the off-season, Moreirense may have lost some momentum from their exceptional 2022-23 campaign. Despite home advantage, the gulf in class to a well-drilled Porto side should be apparent on Monday evening, so the visitors are set to secure maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
24.63% ( 1.22) | 24.7% ( 0.28) | 50.67% ( -1.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( -0.05) | 49.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( -0.05) | 71.81% ( 0.05) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 1.05) | 34.81% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.46% ( 1.1) | 71.54% ( -1.09) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.62) | 19.66% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.36% ( -1.02) | 51.64% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 24.63%
Porto 50.67%
Draw 24.7%
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.63% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.67% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Porto
Moreirense
13.2%Draw
13.2%Porto
73.7%38
Head to Head
