MX23RW : Friday, November 8 10:36:55| >> :60:872:872:
Braga
Taca de Portugal | Final
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Porto

Braga
0 - 2
Porto


Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca de Portugal clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-3 Porto

Carrying an 11-game winning streak into Sunday's showpiece, Porto look set to defend their Taca de Portugal crown at the expense of Braga, who will likely struggle to deal with the Dragons' attacking firepower. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPorto
38.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 26.4% (0.177 0.18) 35.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.607 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.764 -0.76)51.98% (0.761 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.666 -0.67)73.72% (0.664 0.66)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.367 -0.37)26.31% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (-0.491 -0.49)61.44% (0.488 0.49)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)28.38% (0.464 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87% (-0.59 -0.59)64.12% (0.58799999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Braga 38.57%
    Porto 35.02%
    Draw 26.39%
BragaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.198 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.02%

How you voted: Braga vs Porto

Braga
15.9%
Draw
13.6%
Porto
70.5%
44
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
gameweek 25
Braga
0-0
Porto
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
gameweek 8
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
gameweek 31
Braga
1-0
Porto
Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 14
Porto
1-0
Braga
Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
2-3
Braga
Otavio (30'), Marega (75')
Otavio (84')
Ruiz (9', 14'), Piazon (28')
Esgaio (43'), Piazon (77'), Magalhaes (80')
Borja (34')
rhs 2.0
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