Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 2
Porto

(Porto win 5-3 on aggregate)

Penetra (36')
Moura (45+1'), Pablo (80'), Otavio (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marcano (16'), Martinez (63')
Grujic (31'), Otavio (44')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Famalicao and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Porto
Saturday, April 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao come into the game in fine form and will be desperate to get a result in their home leg, but we do not see them having enough to match the current Primeira Liga, Taca de Portugal and Taca da Liga champions and anticipate the Dragoes coming away with a narrow lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Porto
31.56% ( 0.76)	26.79% ( 0.03)	41.65% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 50.67% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.73% (

0.11)

54.27% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

0.09)

75.67% (

-0.09)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.21% (

0.59)

31.79% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.78% (

0.67)

68.22% (

-0.67)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

-0.36)

25.71% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37% (

-0.49)

60.63% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 31.56%

Porto 41.65%

Draw 26.79%

Famalicao	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.56%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.65%