Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.16% ( 0.48) | 24.51% ( -0.17) | 19.34% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% ( 0.26) | 54.48% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( 0.22) | 75.84% ( -0.21) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( 0.29) | 19.31% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% ( 0.47) | 51.06% ( -0.46) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.31% ( -0.19) | 42.68% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.98% ( -0.16) | 79.02% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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