MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:41:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Casa Pia

Arouca
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Mujica (81', 90+3')
Quaresma (76'), Mujica (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Neto (36'), Mukendi (71'), Lelo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Casa Pia

Arouca and Casa Pia have enjoyed a solid campaign and both find themselves in contention for European football next season. Each side are evenly-matched heading into the weekend and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
40.13% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 28.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 31.56% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.22% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)59.9% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.84% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.16% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (0.049999999999997 0.05)29.2% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.058 0.06)65.14% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-0.023 -0.02)71.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 40.13%
    Casa Pia 31.56%
    Draw 28.31%
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 10.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.56%

How you voted: Arouca vs Casa Pia

Arouca
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Casa Pia
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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