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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Portimonense

Arouca
4 - 0
Portimonense

Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Luquinhas (13'), Seck (27'), Pedrao (34'), Ouattara (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, January 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Santa Clara
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense

Both sides will be pleased with their respective campaigns so far, and there is unlikely to be much splitting them on the day. As such, we would not be surprised if a share of the spoils is the ultimate outcome, which would prolong Portimonense's winless streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawPortimonense
46.64% (0.492 0.49) 27.19% (-0.131 -0.13) 26.18% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (0.247 0.25)58.13% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (0.193 0.19)78.79% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.349 0.35)24.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.484 0.48)59.57% (-0.487 -0.49)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)38.02% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (-0.17 -0.17)74.79% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 46.63%
    Portimonense 26.18%
    Draw 27.18%
AroucaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Arouca vs Portimonense

Arouca
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
Portimonense
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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