Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Madeira
Nacional2 - 0Portimonense
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Nacional and Portimonense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Tondela
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Braga
Sunday, November 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Portimonense |
32.19% ( 0.2) | 26.01% ( 0.11) | 41.8% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.09% ( -0.4) | 50.92% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% ( -0.35) | 72.79% ( 0.35) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% ( -0.06) | 29.67% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% ( -0.08) | 65.72% ( 0.08) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.33) | 24.13% ( 0.34) |