Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela

Vizela
1 - 0
Portimonense

Anderson (14')
Moreira (2'), Afonso (44'), Fernandes (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (16'), Sapara (85'), Rochez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, September 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Chaves
Friday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vizela 1-1 Portimonense

Despite having just five points so far, Vizela have been extremely unlucky against top opposition and their league position so far is not a true reflection of how well they have performed in stages. Portimonense will be brimming with confidence though, given their current position in the standings and will come into the fixture as slight favourites. However, neither side have reached double-figures for goals for or goals against yet after seven matches each, so we expect another low-scoring encounter which could go either way, but a draw seems most likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Portimonense
43.82% ( -0.41)	27.82% ( 0.09)	28.36% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 46.21% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75% (

-0.19)

59.25% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34% (

-0.15)

79.66% (

0.14)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.3)

26.86% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

-0.4)

62.17% (

0.4)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18% (

0.16)

36.82% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.39% (

0.15)

73.61% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Vizela 43.82%

Portimonense 28.36%

Draw 27.82%

Vizela	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.36%