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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Arouca

Braga
2 - 0
Arouca

Ruiz (1'), Banza (81')
Racic (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Basso (45'), Moreira (66'), Galovic (74'), Simao (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Arouca

 While Braga have flattered to deceive in Europe, back home they have enjoyed a solid campaign and are currently seated in the upper echelons of the table. Jorge's side have won seven of their last eight Primeira Liga matches and we are backing them to comfortably see off an Arouca side who have struggled for results away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawArouca
64.68% (0.387 0.39) 20.58% (-0.161 -0.16) 14.75% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.91% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.233 0.23)46.09% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.219 0.22)68.39% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.188 0.19)13.5% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.47% (0.376 0.38)40.53% (-0.376 -0.38)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.54% (-0.173 -0.17)43.46% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.33% (-0.143 -0.14)79.67% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.67%
    Arouca 14.75%
    Draw 20.58%
BragaDrawArouca
2-0 @ 11.76% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 64.67%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.75%

How you voted: Braga vs Arouca

Braga
90.3%
Draw
3.2%
Arouca
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 6pm
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Fernandes (6'), Simao (38'), Milovanov (39')
Banza (1'), Horta (4', 40'), Oliveira (44'), Castro (67'), Lainez (76')
Medeiros (19'), Elmusrati (21'), Lainez (48')
May 8, 2022 6pm
Braga
1-0
Arouca
Horta (87')

Nunes (84')
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Arouca
0-6
Braga

Valderrama (9'), Evangelista (45+4')
Oliveira (5', 12', 26'), Medeiros (71' pen.), Fernandes (74', 80')
Couto (54'), Mineiro (72')
Mar 4, 2017 4pm
Braga
3-1
Arouca
Fonte (12', 69'), Battaglia (73')
Vukcevic (53')
Mateus (17')
Kuca (15'), Valente (27'), Gonzalez (75'), Nelsinho (83')
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
Arouca
1-1
Braga
Gonzalez (85')
Valente (11'), Carleto (28'), Crivellaro (92')
Santos (49')
Djavan (22'), Rosic (39'), Matheus (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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