Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, February 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-1 Santa Clara
While Os Acoreanos will be looking to take the positives from Monday's draw, they have struggled for results against Arouca in recent meetings. Buoyed by their home fans, we predict that Arouca will come away with a slender victory and extend their winning streak against Arouca to three matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
34.97% ( -0.02) | 28.17% ( 0) | 36.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( -0.02) | 58.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% ( -0.01) | 79.39% ( 0.01) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.02) | 31.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.02) | 68.28% ( 0.02) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.1% ( 0) | 66.89% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 34.96%
Santa Clara 36.86%
Draw 28.16%
| Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.86% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Santa Clara
Arouca
69.2%Draw
15.4%Santa Clara
15.4%13
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 6.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
1-2
Arouca
Amorim (50')
Antonio (30'), Marcos (84')
Antonio (30'), Marcos (84')
Form Guide
