Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Braga0 - 4Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Braga 2-1 Fiorentina
There is little doubt that Braga head into this tie in considerably better form than their opponents, who are languishing in the bottom half of Serie A after enduring a poor run of form. However, we expect Fiorentina to keep things competitive, even if a narrow defeat would make the Portuguese side favourites to progress. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.99% ( -0.19) | 25.37% ( 0.05) | 29.64% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% ( -0.15) | 49.22% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% ( -0.14) | 71.28% ( 0.14) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% ( -0.15) | 21.86% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.9% ( -0.23) | 55.1% ( 0.23) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( 0.02) | 30.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.21% ( 0.03) | 66.79% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Braga 44.99%
Fiorentina 29.64%
Draw 25.37%
Braga | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.64% |
How you voted: Braga vs Fiorentina
Braga
73.9%Draw
11.6%Fiorentina
14.5%138
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 00:40:46
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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