Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 16, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Geraldes (32' pen.), Gouveia (77')
Mexer (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Varela (31'), Brice Eteki (41'), Soares (64'), Cuca (72'), Martins (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Setubal 0-1 Casa Pia
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Casa Pia

Fresh off the back of an impressive cup display, Casa Pia will head into Monday with sky-high confidence as they look to move into the European qualification places. The visitors take on an out-of-sorts Estoril Praia side and we are tipping them to come away with another close victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Casa Pia
23.3% ( -0.19)	25.58% ( 0.09)	51.11% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

-0.5)

54.4% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22% (

-0.42)

75.77% (

0.42)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.46% (

-0.46)

38.54% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.71% (

-0.44)

75.29% (

0.44)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

-0.17)

21.31% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74% (

-0.26)

54.26% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 23.3%

Casa Pia 51.1%

Draw 25.58%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.3%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.1%