Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estádio do Bonfim
Setubal0 - 1Casa Pia
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Casa Pia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pero Pinheiro 1-4 Setubal
Wednesday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Porto
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Casa Pia |
25.78% ( 0.56) | 24.6% ( -0.34) | 49.62% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.82% ( 1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.56% ( 1.86) | 48.44% ( -1.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.43% ( 1.68) | 70.57% ( -1.67) |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( 1.47) | 33.1% ( -1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( 1.59) | 69.69% ( -1.59) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( 0.65) | 19.55% ( -0.65) |