Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Porto

Soares (33'), Batista (74')
Soares (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Casa Pia have put together a fine run of form in the league, next up is the stern challenge of taking on a rampant Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing Conceicao's side to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Porto
11.17% ( -0.97)	20.44% ( -0.93)	68.38% ( 1.9)

Both teams to score 39.59% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.8% (

1.32)

53.2% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23% (

1.11)

74.76% (

-1.11)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.36% (

-0.93)

53.63% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.95% (

-0.59)

87.04% (

0.58)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

1.04)

14.61% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28% (

1.97)

42.71% (

-1.97)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 11.17%

Porto 68.37%

Draw 20.44%

Casa Pia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.17%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.44%	0-1 @ 15.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 14.49% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 9.29% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.4) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.37%