MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:41:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Porto

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Porto


Soares (33'), Batista (74')
Soares (45+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-1 Arouca
Wednesday, December 28 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-3 Porto

While Casa Pia have put together a fine run of form in the league, next up is the stern challenge of taking on a rampant Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing Conceicao's side to claim a comfortable win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.49%) and 0-3 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPorto
11.17% (-0.971 -0.97) 20.44% (-0.933 -0.93) 68.38% (1.901 1.9)
Both teams to score 39.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8% (1.317 1.32)53.2% (-1.319 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (1.105 1.11)74.76% (-1.108 -1.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.36% (-0.929 -0.93)53.63% (0.92599999999999 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.95% (-0.586 -0.59)87.04% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (1.041 1.04)14.61% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (1.972 1.97)42.71% (-1.973 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 11.17%
    Porto 68.37%
    Draw 20.44%
Casa PiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-1 @ 2.93% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.17%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.44%
0-1 @ 15.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 14.49% (0.31 0.31)
0-3 @ 9.29% (0.525 0.52)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.404 0.4)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.72% (0.211 0.21)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 68.37%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Porto

Casa Pia
3.1%
Draw
6.3%
Porto
90.6%
32
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!