Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals

Feb 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Casa Pia
2 - 5
Nacional

Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Nunes (6'), Clayton (67'), Fernandes (90+5'), Varela (115'), Martins (118')
Nunes (17'), Fernandes (92')

FT
(aet)

Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
Witi (76'), Ramos (77'), Vieira (86'), Danilovic (90+8'), Clayton (100')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Rabo Peixe
Wednesday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Nacional's Taca de Portugal journey looks set to end at the quarter-final stage, with Casa Pia expected to flex their top-flight muscles and book their place in the last four with another clean-sheet victory in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
43.29% ( -0.24)	28.26% ( 0.18)	28.45% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.07% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.3% (

-0.58)

60.69% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.23% (

-0.44)

80.76% (

0.44)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

-0.41)

27.83% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.52)

63.42% (

0.51)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

-0.27)

37.54% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

-0.27)

74.32% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 43.29%

Nacional 28.44%

Draw 28.25%

Casa Pia	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.29%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.44%