MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:45:55| >> :60:310:310:
Casa Pia
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
 
Nacional

Casa Pia
2 - 5
Nacional

Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Nunes (6'), Clayton (67'), Fernandes (90+5'), Varela (115'), Martins (118')
Nunes (17'), Fernandes (92')
FT
(aet)
Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
Witi (76'), Ramos (77'), Vieira (86'), Danilovic (90+8'), Clayton (100')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Rabo Peixe
Wednesday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We say: Casa Pia 2-0 Nacional

Nacional's Taca de Portugal journey looks set to end at the quarter-final stage, with Casa Pia expected to flex their top-flight muscles and book their place in the last four with another clean-sheet victory in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Casa PiaDrawNacional
43.29% (-0.236 -0.24) 28.26% (0.178 0.18) 28.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.07% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3% (-0.582 -0.58)60.69% (0.578 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23% (-0.442 -0.44)80.76% (0.438 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.405 -0.41)27.83% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.518 -0.52)63.42% (0.514 0.51)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.275 -0.27)37.54% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.27 -0.27)74.32% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 43.29%
    Nacional 28.44%
    Draw 28.25%
Casa PiaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.44% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Nacional

Casa Pia
79.3%
Draw
12.1%
Nacional
8.6%
58
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal25158251222953
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
4Manchester CityMan City25135752351744
5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!