Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal José dos Santos Pinto
Sporting Covilha1 - 2Nacional
Vilanculos (40')
Rodrigues (83'), Fatai (84'), Yang (86'), Kukula (90')
Rodrigues (83'), Fatai (84'), Yang (86'), Kukula (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Sporting Covilha and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 2-0 Sporting Covilha
Sunday, November 27 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Sunday, November 27 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 27 at 3pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, November 27 at 3pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Covilha | Draw | Nacional |
28.14% ( 0.34) | 25.45% ( -0.03) | 46.41% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
