Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
0 - 1
Gil Vicente

Jaime (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (51')
Aburjania (27'), Fernandes (53'), Boselli (57'), Tiba (67'), Carlos (85'), Aouacheria (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 4-1 Belenenses
Wednesday, February 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, February 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Gil Vicente

With just two points separating Famalicao and Gil Vicente in the league table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides taking the game to each other in search of the upper hand. The Vila Nova have put together a solid home run in recent weeks and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Gil Vicente
52.17% ( 0.44)	24.91% ( 0.21)	22.93% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 49.91% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

-1.43)

52.14% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.14% (

-1.25)

73.86% (

1.24)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03% (

-0.38)

19.97% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.86% (

-0.62)

52.14% (

0.61)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

-1.4)

37.63% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59% (

-1.4)

74.41% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 52.16%

Gil Vicente 22.93%

Draw 24.9%

Famalicao	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.16%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.93%