We said: Famalicao 0-1 Vizela
Vizela have been very solid defensively this season, and for that reason we expect them to keep a clean sheet, in a narrow victory on the road.
Pacheco's side comfortably dispatched of Guimaraes last time out, a team that are far superior to Famalicao, and so they should be expected to make it three wins on the spin in the Primeira Liga.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.