Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto4 - 1Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Porto 2-0 Famalicao
Porto and Famalicao head into the weekend in superb form and we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two in-form sides. While we expect Famalicao to put up a fight, the Dragoes boast a superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to extend their winning streak in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
75.01% ( -0.44) | 16.25% ( 0.26) | 8.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.49% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.65) | 42.55% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.65) | 64.95% ( 0.65) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( -0.27) | 9.7% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.63) | 32.34% ( 0.63) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.04) | 51.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.1% ( -0.02) | 85.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 75%
Famalicao 8.74%
Draw 16.25%
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.25% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.74% |
How you voted: Porto vs Famalicao
Porto
87.5%Draw
12.5%Famalicao
0.0%24
Head to Head
