MX23RW : Monday, November 25 16:17:38| >> :60:932:932:
Famalicao logo
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 8, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Belenenses

Famalicao
4 - 1
Belenenses

Tabuaco (37' og.), Cadiz (57', 59'), Jaime (68')
Sa (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (65')
Coxixo (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Famalicao and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vilaverdense 1-4 Belenenses
Wednesday, January 11 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Famalicao 3-1 Belenenses

Despite sitting only six points above the relegation playoff position in the Primeira Liga standings, we predict that Sousa's side will put their modest league form to one side on Wednesday evening to seal their place in the semi-finals of the Taca de Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawBelenenses
54.79% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 25.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 20.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (0.004999999999999 0)77% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)42.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)79.02% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 54.78%
    Belenenses 20.08%
    Draw 25.13%
FamalicaoDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.08%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Belenenses

Famalicao
94.6%
Draw
5.4%
Belenenses
0.0%
37
Head to Head
May 9, 2022 8.15pm
Belenenses
2-3
Famalicao
Alex (44' og.), Baraye (90+3')
Tavares (26'), Sousa (90+2'), Carraca (90+6')
Marin (67'), Rodrigues (76'), Pepe (90+5')
Banza (90+2')
Jan 13, 2022 6pm
Feb 12, 2021 8.30pm
Famalicao
0-0
Belenenses

Verdonk (45'), Rodrigues (49'), Pepe (84')

Varela (22'), Esgaio (58'), Phete (69'), Ramires (90+3')
Sep 28, 2020 7.45pm
Belenenses
1-2
Famalicao
Cassierra (42')
Phete (25'), Esgaio (36'), Varela (62')
Riccieli (52'), Valenzuela (55')
Assuncao (15'), Patrick (90+1'), Campana Romero (90+3'), Silva (90+4'), Pereyra (90+5')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!