Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara1 - 3Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Santa Clara 0-1 Famalicao
Santa Clara and Famalicao have both endured a disappointing campaign and find themselves at the wrong end of the table. Unlike the hosts, the Vila Nova have managed a few decent results here and there since the turn of the year and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
36.48% ( 0.21) | 28.97% ( -0.08) | 34.56% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.28) | 61.73% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.46% ( 0.21) | 81.54% ( -0.2) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 0.28) | 32.33% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.31) | 68.83% ( -0.31) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.06) | 33.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.76% ( 0.07) | 70.24% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Santa Clara 36.48%
Famalicao 34.55%
Draw 28.95%
| Santa Clara | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.55% |
How you voted: Santa Clara vs Famalicao
Santa Clara
14.8%Draw
48.1%Famalicao
37.0%27
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Famalicao
0-0
Santa Clara
De La Fuente (48')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Form Guide
