Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
61.33% ( -0.01) | 22.39% ( 0.01) | 16.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.01) | 50.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.01) | 72.62% ( 0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( -0.01) | 16.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.54% ( -0.01) | 45.46% ( 0.02) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.83% ( 0) | 44.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.73% | 80.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |