Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
While Pacos de Ferreira continue their relegation dogfight, Casa Pia head into Monday looking to get their quest for a place in Europe back on track. The Pacenses showed flashes of brilliance in last Sunday's loss to Boavista and we are backing them to hold out for a share of the spoils against the out-of-sorts hosts
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.3% . A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.05% .
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.7%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.28%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result Casa Pia Draw Pacos de Ferreira 48.3% ( 0.48) 27.64% ( 0.09) 24.05% ( -0.57)
Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.74)
38.99% ( -0.68) 61.01% ( 0.68)
19% ( -0.51) 81% ( 0.51)
74.57% ( -0.08) 25.43% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.75% ( -0.1) 60.24% ( 0.1)
58.43% ( -0.93) 41.57% ( 0.93)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.94% ( -0.82) 78.06% ( 0.82)
Casa Pia 48.3%
Pacos de Ferreira 24.05%
Draw 27.64%
Casa Pia Draw Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 @ 14.47% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 48.3% 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.64% 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.05%
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Pacos de Ferreira
Casa Pia
Draw
Pacos de Ferreira
43
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 17:45:41
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