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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Estoril
1 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Geraldes (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Butzke (16'), Thomas (26'), Holsgrove (64')
Carlos (45+1'), Holsgrove (63'), Uilton (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

While Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to stop the rot, they face an Estoril Praia side who have been solid at home in recent weeks. A run of two wins in three matches should have the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota buzzing this weekend and we predict that the Canarinhos will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
46.37% (-0.189 -0.19) 27.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 26.1% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 45.56% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (0.131 0.13)59.33% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (0.101 0.1)79.72% (-0.102 -0.1)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)60.49% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.25% (0.244 0.24)38.75% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (0.23 0.23)75.49% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 46.37%
    Pacos de Ferreira 26.1%
    Draw 27.52%
Estoril PraiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Estoril vs Pacos de Ferreira

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Pacos de Ferreira
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 8.15pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-3
Estoril

Kayky (15'), Butzke (77')
Djalo (53'), Peixoto (68'), Butzke (88')
Carlos (26', 43'), Lea Siliki (72')
Jan 31, 2022 7pm
Estoril
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Patrick (31'), Joaozinho (45+1'), Arthur (52'), Soria (64'), Gamboa (90+4')
Arthur (75')

Pires (35'), Lima (74')
Aug 23, 2021 7pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-3
Estoril
Delgado (30')
Fonseca (58'), Ferreira (66'), Carlos (80')
Lourenco (45+1'), Franco (78' pen.), Joaozinho (81')
Geraldes (22'), Crespo (37'), Ferraresi (89')
Mar 17, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Gomes (1')
Gomes (45'), Rodrigues (51')
Vieira (54')
Quinones (11'), Micael (71'), Martins (79'), Assis (85'), Correia (92')
Oct 29, 2017 6pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-0
Estoril
Abner (5' og.)
Vieira (73'), Santos (76'), da Silva (77'), Pedrinho (90')
Santos (83')

Andrade (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto6501123915
3Benfica6411124813
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
9Gil Vicente614167-17
10Casa Pia621358-37
11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
12AVS6213610-47
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Nacional6114412-84
17Estrela Amadora602439-62
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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