Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.35% ( -0.19) | 28.85% ( 0.19) | 35.79% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.68% ( -0.67) | 61.32% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.76% ( -0.5) | 81.23% ( 0.5) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0.47) | 32.85% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0.53) | 69.42% ( 0.53) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -0.34) | 32.56% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.38) | 69.09% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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