Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.