Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.18% ( 0.09) | 21.9% ( 0.25) | 62.92% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0.81) | 50.7% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0.72) | 72.6% ( 0.72) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.35% ( -0.36) | 45.65% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.55% ( -0.28) | 81.45% ( 0.28) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( -0.38) | 15.54% ( 0.38) |