Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicao3 - 2Maritimo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Famalicao 2-1 Maritimo
Following their performances at the weekend, Maritimo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to salvage their season. However, Famalicao's campaign has taken a turn for the better in recent weeks and we are backing them to claim all three points and keep their race for a place in Europe alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Maritimo |
56.06% ( 0.13) | 23.61% ( -0.06) | 20.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
