MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:01:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Maritimo

Casa Pia
2 - 0
Maritimo

Cardoso (41', 50')
Batista (90+1'), Clayton (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, March 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Maritimo

With two of the division's lowest scorers on show, this looks likely to be a tight affair that could be decided by a single goal. Neither team are in very good form and both would benefit hugely from a morale-boosting win, and the signs all point to that going the way of Casa Pia given Maritimo's terrible away record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawMaritimo
43.76% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72) 27.9% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 28.34% (0.691 0.69)
Both teams to score 46% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.49% (0.237 0.24)59.51% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (0.18 0.18)79.86% (-0.182 -0.18)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-0.26100000000001 -0.26)27.01% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-0.344 -0.34)62.37% (0.34 0.34)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (0.694 0.69)36.98% (-0.697 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (0.684 0.68)73.77% (-0.687 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 43.76%
    Maritimo 28.34%
    Draw 27.89%
Casa PiaDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.76%
1-1 @ 13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 28.34%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Maritimo

Casa Pia
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Maritimo
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2022 8.15pm
Maritimo
1-2
Casa Pia
Xadas (11')
Mosquera (13')
Clayton (18'), Lelo (71' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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