Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 1
Maritimo

Euller (2'), Vitoria (21' pen.)
Sylla (26'), Abass (29'), Vitor (39'), Teixeira (41'), Vitoria (43'), Guimaraes (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Winck (27' pen.)
Xadas (13'), Beltrame (14'), China (45+4'), Rene (80'), Val (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Maritimo

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves and Maritimo have struggled for form in recent weeks and will head into Sunday in search of a morale-boosting result. However, we predict that they will both take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Maritimo
51% ( 0.01)	26% ( 0.03)	23% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81% (

-0.14)

56.19% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75% (

-0.11)

77.24% (

0.11)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

-0.05)

22.1% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54% (

-0.08)

55.46% (

0.08)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16% (

-0.12)

39.83% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5% (

-0.11)

76.5% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Chaves 50.99%

Maritimo 23%

Draw 26%

Chaves	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.99%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 23%