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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Porto

Maritimo
0 - 2
Porto


Val (6'), Moreno (13'), Pereira (36'), de Lacerda (64'), Costa (66')
Moreno (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wendell (50'), Galeno (55')
Folha (7'), Conceicao (7'), Sanusi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Maritimo 0-3 Porto

Off the back of an unprecedented Taca da Liga victory, Porto will head into Wednesday with sky-high confidence as they look to continue their rise to the top of the table. At the opposite end of the table is a Maritimo side who appear to have hit their stride after a disappointing first half of the season. While we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Maritimo, Porto possesses the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will come away with a comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
MaritimoDrawPorto
9.17% (0.0030999999999999 0) 18.08% (0.179 0.18) 72.75% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)
Both teams to score 39.4% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-0.733 -0.73)49.19% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.664 -0.66)71.25% (0.667 0.67)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.82% (-0.461 -0.46)55.18% (0.465 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.01% (-0.275 -0.28)87.99% (0.28 0.28)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)12.09% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (-0.549 -0.55)37.64% (0.553 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 9.17%
    Porto 72.74%
    Draw 18.08%
MaritimoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.97% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 9.17%
1-1 @ 8.38% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 18.08%
0-2 @ 14.89% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 14.09% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-5 @ 2.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 72.74%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Porto

Maritimo
8.1%
Draw
8.1%
Porto
83.8%
37
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
5-1
Maritimo
Taremi (12', 42'), Evanilson (40'), Marcano (68'), Martinez (76')
Uribe (28'), Marcano (35'), Galeno (87')
Winck (88')
Joel (28'), Teles (78')
Jan 30, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
2-1
Maritimo
Evanilson (18'), Pepe (48')
Otavio (45'), Wendell (69'), Mario (78'), Grujic (79')
Costa (53')
Vidigal (31'), Costa (43'), Costa (51'), Winck (57'), Guitane (82')
Aug 22, 2021 6pm
Maritimo
1-1
Porto
Xadas (45+4')
Costa (14'), de Mello Costa (59'), Pelagio (67'), Winck (90+1')
Diaz (35')
Taremi (62')
Feb 22, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
1-2
Porto
Andrade (18')
Hermes (32'), Joel (69'), Pelagio (71'), Jean (86'), Abedzadeh (87'), Junior (90+4')
Uribe (14'), Otavio (90+3' pen.)
Manafa (32'), Marchesin (83')
Oct 3, 2020 6.30pm
Porto
2-3
Maritimo
Pepe (42'), Otavio (90+9')
Mbemba (52'), Pepe (82')
Pinho (24', 52'), Nanu (90+4')
Pinho (45+2'), Kibe (73'), Costa (87'), Pelagio (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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