Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Boavista |
41.17% ( -0.04) | 26.84% ( 0.01) | 31.99% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% ( -0.04) | 54.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% ( -0.03) | 75.74% ( 0.03) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.04) | 26% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.05) | 61.03% ( 0.05) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( -0) | 31.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% ( -0) | 67.93% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 12 |
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