Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Bessa Século XXI
Boavista1 - 2Famalicao
We said: Boavista 1-1 Famalicao
Despite Boavista's inability to score goals in recent matches — the Panthers have not netted in three of the last five league games — this game has often produced goals since their first meeting in January 2020. Famalicao won the corresponding fixture last season, but their ongoing misery on the road suggests a similar result may be unlikely, so a draw with both teams scoring could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
46.06% ( 0.07) | 26.57% ( 0.02) | 27.36% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
