Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
46.06% ( 0.07) | 26.57% ( 0.02) | 27.36% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.78% ( -0.11) | 55.22% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.54% ( -0.09) | 76.45% ( 0.09) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.02) | 23.93% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( -0.02) | 58.15% ( 0.02) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% ( -0.13) | 35.44% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% ( -0.13) | 72.2% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Benfica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
12 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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