Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto2 - 1Santa Clara
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Porto
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Vizela
Friday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 3-0 Santa Clara
Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Santa Clara side who have endured a gruesome campaign. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing Porto to pick up from where they left off against Benfica and claim a comfortable win in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 86.66%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 4-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Santa Clara |
86.66% ( -0.21) | 9.68% ( 0.14) | 3.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 36.64% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
