Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Paulinho (14'), Trincao (22'), Edwards (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sagna (45+2'), Misao (77'), MT (81'), Adriano (85'), Babi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Santa Clara

Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, Sporting Lisbon will fancy their chances against bottom-dwellers Santa Clara. Buoyed by their impressive result over Arsenal in Europe, we predict that Amorim's men will continue where they dropped off last time out and claim a comfortable home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
78.95% ( 0.05)	14.35% ( -0.03)	6.7% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 40.08% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.69% (

0.1)

41.31% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.29% (

0.1)

63.71% (

-0.1)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.53% (

0.03)

8.47% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.63% (

0.09)

29.37% (

-0.09)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.79% (

0.03)

56.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.41% (

0.02)

88.59% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 78.93%

Santa Clara 6.7%

Draw 14.35%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.93% 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 78.93%	1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 14.35%	0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 6.7%