Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara1 - 3Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Braga
Monday, February 27 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 27 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Santa Clara 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes
While Santa Clara will be looking to stop the rot, they face the daunting challenge of taking on a Vitoria de Guimaraes side who have hit their stride in recent weeks. Having picked up four wins in their last five matches, Os Vimaranenses will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and we are backing them to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
32.3% ( -0.61) | 28.18% ( -0.34) | 39.52% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
