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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Estoril

Bellerin (40'), Trincao (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estoril Praia

Off the back of a dominant Europa League performance, Sporting Lisbon will head into Monday with their morale high and full of confidence. The Leoes have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in experience and quality between the two teams, we are backing them to ease to another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
71.5% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 10.93% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)41.83% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)10.39% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)33.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.12% (0.101 0.1)46.88% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)82.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 71.48%
    Estoril Praia 10.93%
    Draw 17.57%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 5.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril

Sporting Lisbon
87.3%
Draw
4.2%
Estoril Praia
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 9.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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