Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
1 - 2
Gil Vicente

Taremi (4')
Uribe (43'), Otavio (63'), Eustaquio (76'), Pepe (78')
Mario (35'), Uribe (52')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Navarro (27'), Costa (45+2' pen.)
Fujimoto (22'), Carlos (63'), Navarro (75'), Andrew (82'), Aouacheria (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Porto
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Vizela
Friday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Porto 3-0 Gil Vicente

Following their midweek Champions League defeat, Porto will be looking to put together a fine run of form and build momentum ahead of March's return leg. Conceicao's men have been near impenetrable on home turf this season and we are backing them to return to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 4.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 4-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Gil Vicente
85.62% ( -0.06)	9.65% ( 0.03)	4.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.44% (

-0.06)

25.56% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.36% (

-0.07)

45.64% (

0.07)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.94% (

-0.02)

4.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.94% (

-0.06)

17.06% (

0.06)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.31% (

0.05)

50.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.87% (

0.04)

85.12% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Porto 85.62%

Gil Vicente 4.72%

Draw 9.65%

Porto	Draw	Gil Vicente
3-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.55% 4-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 85.62%	1-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 9.65%	1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.72%