Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 0Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Benfica have been edging past opponents and just about getting the job done to cling onto their lead at the top, and it will be a big statement if they can again. Both sides have match winners, and Braga may be more confident at the moment, but on the big occasions domestically, Benfica often show up. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
59.87% ( 0.64) | 20.45% ( 0.05) | 19.67% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
