Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga4 - 1Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Braga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, March 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
22
We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia
Off the back of snapping their losing streak, Estoril Praia will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to steer clear of the danger zone. However, they face an in-form Braga side who are unbeaten in each of their last nine meetings since September 2015. Os Arcebispos know that they cannot afford to slip up in their race to leapfrog Porto and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
67.85% ( -0.44) | 19.56% ( 0.21) | 12.59% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
