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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Estoril

Braga
4 - 1
Estoril

Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Horta (42'), Horta (47'), Ruiz (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eduardo (48')
Araujo (46'), Geraldes (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Braga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, March 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia

 Off the back of snapping their losing streak, Estoril Praia will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to steer clear of the danger zone. However, they face an in-form Braga side who are unbeaten in each of their last nine meetings since September 2015. Os Arcebispos know that they cannot afford to slip up in their race to leapfrog Porto and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
67.85% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44) 19.56% (0.212 0.21) 12.59% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 46.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-0.36 -0.36)46.39% (0.355 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (-0.34 -0.34)68.67% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)12.66% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (-0.483 -0.48)38.83% (0.479 0.48)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.08% (0.157 0.16)46.91% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57% (0.119 0.12)82.42% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Braga 67.84%
    Estoril Praia 12.59%
    Draw 19.56%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 12.27% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.74% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 67.84%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 19.56%
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.59%

How you voted: Braga vs Estoril

Braga
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Estoril
0-2
Braga

Serginho (69')
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Estoril
0-0
Braga

Gamboa (90')
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
0-6
Braga

Kleber (22'), Allano (47'), Dankler (89')
Eduardo (7'), Paulinho (44', 68'), Horta (45', 93'), Martins (77')
Silva (36')
Oct 1, 2017 5.15pm
Braga
6-0
Estoril
Sousa (17'), Silva (41'), Martins (54'), Xadas (57'), Horta (61', 83')

Eduardo (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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