Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
4 - 1
Estoril

Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Horta (42'), Horta (47'), Ruiz (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Eduardo (48')
Araujo (46'), Geraldes (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Braga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, March 31 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia

Off the back of snapping their losing streak, Estoril Praia will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to steer clear of the danger zone. However, they face an in-form Braga side who are unbeaten in each of their last nine meetings since September 2015. Os Arcebispos know that they cannot afford to slip up in their race to leapfrog Porto and we are backing them to come away with all three points in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Estoril Praia
67.85% ( -0.44)	19.56% ( 0.21)	12.59% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 46.36% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61% (

-0.36)

46.39% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.32% (

-0.34)

68.67% (

0.33)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.33% (

-0.24)

12.66% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.17% (

-0.48)

38.83% (

0.48)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.08% (

0.16)

46.91% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.57% (

0.12)

82.42% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Braga 67.84%

Estoril Praia 12.59%

Draw 19.56%

Braga	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 67.84%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.56%	0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.59%