Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
4 - 1
Portimonense

Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
Bruma (74')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Gomes (45+2')
Ventura (10'), Seck (37'), Carlinhos (45+3'), Moufi (54'), Klismahn (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Braga 3-0 Portimonense

When you couple Braga's exceptional home form with Portimonense's woeful away record, all the signs point towards a straightforward win for Os Arsenalistas at the Estadio Municipal de Braga. Given that Braga have won 10 of their last 13 home league games – keeping nine clean sheets in the process – we expect Jorge's men to notch another shutout victory in front of their fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Portimonense
76.06% ( -0.03)	15.74% ( 0.01)	8.2% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 42.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.97% (

-0.03)

42.03% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.56% (

-0.03)

64.43% (

0.03)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.68% (

-0.01)

9.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.56% (

-0.03)

31.43% (

0.03)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.26% (

0.01)

52.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.52% (

0.01)

86.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Braga 76.04%

Portimonense 8.2%

Draw 15.74%

Braga	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 13.83% 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% 6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 76.04%	1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 15.74%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 8.2%