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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Portimonense

Estoril
0 - 1
Portimonense

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cariello (79')
Mauricio (24'), Junior (47'), Ventura (67'), Costa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Portimonense

Both teams have struggled for goals this season, so a low-scoring affair is on the cards here. Having said that, we just about fancy the hosts to secure all three points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
43.96% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 25.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 30.62% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)49.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.084 -0.08)71.09% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)22.25% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.129 -0.13)55.69% (0.129 0.13)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23%29.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.85% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 43.96%
    Portimonense 30.62%
    Draw 25.42%
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Estoril vs Portimonense

Estoril Praia
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
Portimonense
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Jocu (24')
Erison (22')
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
Apr 14, 2018 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Estoril

Sa (84')
Halliche (42')
Ribeiro (77'), Dankler (95'), Fonseca (97')
Andrade (77')
Dec 4, 2017 8pm
Estoril
0-0
Portimonense

Joel (80')

Hackman (31'), Possignolo (34'), Tabata (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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