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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Braga
3 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Djalo (8'), Horta (29'), Banza (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ribeiro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Having failed to beat the drop, Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to at least go down on a high. However, Braga have been near impenetrable at home, where they have lost just once since early November. We are backing Os Arcebispos to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up a morale-boosting result ahead of June's cup final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPacos de Ferreira
75.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 15.98% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02) 8.67% (-0.031099999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.012 0.01)41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.012 0.01)63.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.01700000000001 0.02)9.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.46% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.54% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.7% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)51.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)85.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Braga 75.33%
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.67%
    Draw 15.98%
BragaDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.37%
3-0 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.3% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 2.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 75.33%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.98%
0-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 8.67%

How you voted: Braga vs Pacos de Ferreira

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 17
Pacos de Ferreira
1-2
Braga
Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+10'), Santos (90+11')
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Braga
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Djalo (42'), Ruiz (45+1')

Holsgrove (37')
Feb 12, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Horta (67', 90')
Horta (45'), Buta (56'), Horta (64'), Castro (90+3')
Horta (71')
Antunes (45+1')
Uilton (40'), Baixinho (66')
Oct 28, 2021 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Moura (28'), Leite (50'), Sequeira (80')
Moura (45+1')

Bastos (28'), Vekic (42'), de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Djalo (60'), Silva (77'), Denilson (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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