Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Obiora (52'), Teixeira (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bernardo (33'), Peixoto (34'), Antunes (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+4')
Bernardo (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Chaves
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Pacos de Ferreira have seen their Primeira Liga status come under threat as they find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. Chaves, meanwhile, have picked up an impressive late-season form and we are backing them to come out on top on Saturday as they push for the Europa Conference League ticket. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chaves.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
44.91% ( -0.24)	26.15% ( -0.05)	28.94% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.22% (

0.33)

52.78% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

0.28)

74.41% (

-0.28)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

0.02)

23.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

0.04)

57.42% (

-0.04)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

0.39)

32.92% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

0.43)

69.5% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Chaves 44.91%

Pacos de Ferreira 28.94%

Draw 26.15%

Chaves	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.91%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.94%