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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Chaves
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Obiora (52'), Teixeira (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bernardo (33'), Peixoto (34'), Antunes (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+4')
Bernardo (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Chaves
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Pacos de Ferreira have seen their Primeira Liga status come under threat as they find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. Chaves, meanwhile, have picked up an impressive late-season form and we are backing them to come out on top on Saturday as they push for the Europa Conference League ticket. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chaves.

Result
ChavesDrawPacos de Ferreira
44.91% (-0.242 -0.24) 26.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.94% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.37% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (0.325 0.33)52.78% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (0.276 0.28)74.41% (-0.277 -0.28)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.023999999999987 0.02)23.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.035000000000004 0.04)57.42% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.39 0.39)32.92% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.43 0.43)69.5% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 44.91%
    Pacos de Ferreira 28.94%
    Draw 26.15%
ChavesDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Chaves vs Pacos de Ferreira

Chaves
100%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 15
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Chaves
Uilton (75')
Uilton (4'), Carlos (17'), Delgado (26'), Antunes (28'), Holsgrove (53'), de Brito Gonzaga (55')
Juninho (67')
Abass (29'), Teixeira (37'), Sylla (83'), Langa (89'), Vitor (90+1')
Mar 31, 2018 4pm
Nov 5, 2017 4pm
Chaves
4-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Maras (34'), Platiny (49', 68'), Jorginho (84')
Tiba (35'), Patrao (61'), Platiny (78')
Welthon (6'), Gois (70')
da Silva (76'), Gois (86')
Mar 31, 2017 7pm
Chaves
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Gege (41' og.)
Ponck (81'), Nunes (91')

Melo (15'), dos Santos (76'), Rodrigues (87')
Nov 5, 2016 4pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Chaves
Pedrinho (80')
Joao Costa Baixinho (15'), Da Silva (84')
Battaglia (55')
Martins (48'), Battaglia (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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