Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 23, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 1
Chaves

Jordao (86')
Sagna (31'), Nogueira (51'), Costinha (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abass (83')
Teixeira (23'), Guimaraes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-0 Benfica
Saturday, April 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Santa Clara 0-2 Chaves

Buoyed by their victory over Benfica, Chaves will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to rekindle their race for a spot in Europe. We are backing the Flavienses to pick up from where they dropped off last time out and see off a Santa Clara side whose current form is nothing to write home about. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Chaves
28.88% ( 0.12)	26.96% ( 0.26)	44.16% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.09% (

-0.94)

55.9% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99% (

-0.77)

77.01% (

0.77)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

-0.41)

34.6% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-0.43)

71.32% (

0.43)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

-0.61)

25.16% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

-0.84)

59.88% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 28.88%

Chaves 44.15%

Draw 26.96%

Santa Clara	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.88%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.15%