Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 10, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
0 - 0
Chaves

Araujo (36')

Euller (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Braga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gil Vicente 2-1 Chaves

With just two points separating Gil Vicente and Chaves, we anticipate an end-to-end battle as both sides look to get one over the other. However, Gil Vicente have been rock-solid on home turf since the turn of the year and we are backing them to edge out Chaves, who has managed just one away win since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Chaves
39.6% ( 0.17)	26.49% ( -0.1)	33.9% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

0.42)

52.52% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

0.36)

74.18% (

-0.35)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

0.29)

26% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98% (

0.39)

61.02% (

-0.38)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66% (

0.17)

29.34% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.2)

65.32% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 39.59%

Chaves 33.91%

Draw 26.49%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.59%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.91%